A horse that wins a maiden special weight race is likely to break its maiden fairly quickly. That means you are free to republish our content both online and in print, and we encourage you to do so via the republish this article button. But at a time when all of the legacy media are in grave jeopardy first from the competitive effects of the Internet, and now from the struggling economy they are not making it any easier for themselves or for us. The companies lawsuits do delve into numerous reasons why knowingly allowing false allegations to be aired can amount to endorsing the falsehoods. News sources are playing in the entertainment space, and thats not their lane, said Watley. While the economic devastation to the local news business has hurt those places just as it has everywhere, there remains a lot of good outlets doing perfectly good work covering the races on their doorstep. Harvard Kennedy School's Shorenstein Center, Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy, Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, News Coverage of the 2016 General Election: How the Press Failed the Voters., Projecting Confidence: How the Probabilistic Horse Race Confuses and Demobilizes the Public, News Coverage of the 2016 Presidential Primaries: Horse Race Reporting Has Consequences., 11 Questions Journalists Should Ask About Public Opinion Polls, The Consequences of Strategic News Coverage for Democracy: A Meta-Analysis, News Coverage of the 2016 Presidential Primaries: Horse Race Reporting Has Consequences, What Predicts the Game Frame? He notes that the structure of the nominating process lends itself to horse race reporting. First Amendment is a horse that was born in and unknown -> race in 2002. There is no guarantee, of course, that a subscription to the Wall Street Journal, or any such, will make of you a veritable soothsayer. Although the extent of horse-race coverage has been well documented and widely disparaged as a pernicious force in contemporary American politics, researchers understand little about the concrete consequences it may have for the behavior of the American electorate. To repeat: Even for those of us emphatically on the record blasting former President Donald Trumps lies that the 2020 election was fraudulent and who have little sympathy for anyone who abetted those lies, Foxs First Amendment claims should be respected. HKS will never sell your email address or other information to a third party. Across the country, Black and other organizers of color continue to stand in the gap in the face of fascism because our communities cannot afford to slip any further. The purses in these races vary between small and big tracks, but the purses in the major races can top $1 million. He was trained by Mark Shuman and unknown -> race for [Add Data], and was bred in [Add Data] by [Add Data]. In the paper, Projecting Confidence: How the Probabilistic Horse Race Confuses and Demobilizes the Public, Westwood and his coauthors question whether this new form of horse race reporting might have influenced the 2016 presidential election, which Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton was projected to win. Horse racing action returns to NBC Sports this weekend on the road to the 2023 Kentucky Derby with continuing coverage of the 1/ST Racing Tour Saturday at 4pm ET on CNBC and Peacock. But by the evidence to date, reporters dont get it. He can be reached at Qhillyer@WashingtonExaminer.com. Horse racing dates back to ancient times, and it has been practiced in many cultures since then. ESSENCE.com is part of ESSENCE Communications, Inc. Media scholars have studied horse race reporting for decades to better understand the impact of news stories that frame elections as a competitive game, relying heavily on public opinion polls and giving the most positive attention to frontrunners and underdogs gaining public support. November was the one month when attention to the policy frame exceeded 10% of the coverage. In fact, if were really honest about it, typical voters dont even matter much right now. In this book chapter, Meredith Conroy, an associate professor of political science at California State University, San Bernardino, draws on earlier research that finds horse race coverage is more detrimental to women than men running for elected office. Although not every tittle of jurisprudence built around the 1964 case New York Times vs. Sullivan (along with its later progeny) is (strictly speaking) textually constitutional, its essential holding does reasonably apply the intent of the First Amendment. They note that regardless of a news outlets ownership structure, journalists and audiences are drawn to the horse race in close races. Horse-race coverage of election campaigns means much less coverage of policy issues When media outlets focus on who is leading or losing in the presidential campaign polls, instead of focusing on issues or policy, it is known as reporting on the horse race ____________ employ media strategies to influence the public agenda policy entrepreneurs Its just one example of how the national news mediaeven at this very early stage of the campaignhave been devoting time and thought to presenting the Democratic candidates to their audience. Better yet, Fox and the machine companies could reach a settlement whereby Fox apologizes for bad judgment in broadcasting unfounded aspersions and perhaps pays some damages (far less than the companies are demanding) but acknowledges neither malice nor actual legal violations. Thus are we told that the financial mess works to Barack Obamas political advantage and not much more. What Predicts the Game Frame? Join us. From the extraordinarily high price of commodities like oil and gold, to the drying up of business and consumer credit, to the collapse of the housing market, to the sinking value of the dollar against foreign currencies, to the erratic and downward spiraling action in the equity markets, the U.S. economy has been sending out SOS signals for at least a year. The presss attention to early winners, and its tendency to afford them more positive coverage than their competitors, is not designed to boost their chances, but thats a predictable effect.. In contrast, issues stories are more stable, and dont change as frequently. That is the essence of the First Amendment: free, unfettered exchange of facts, views, theories, and counterclaims. Decentering whiteness in coverage and commentary would lead to news organizations recognizing the value of organizers of color across states like Arizona instead of automatically giving credit to peoples affinity for a deceased white political figure. First, it would be ludicrous to deny that numerous personnel at Fox practiced unethical journalism in the wake of the 2020 election. Lets count the ways: They knew because commodity prices, especially oil and gold, were rising rapidly; that unemployment was rising and the dollar was falling; and that two of the most iconic names in American industry General Motors and Chrysler were petitioning the government for assistance to avoid bankruptcy. Issues & Developments in the Realm of Communications and Media Policy & The First Amendment. More than 2,000 years later, the markets are still the best single predictor of political events, but youd never know it if you get your clues about such things not from financial and economic data but from that breed of journalists called political reporters. Rahm Emmanuel should not be anyones go-to for analysis and commentary. Researchers hope that such a model will eventually be developed for horse racing and allow trainers to plug in various parameters for each horse. Even with the best of 2-yea Bob Baffert will not be taking part in any of the Arcadia, Calif. Sure, its nice for a trainer to g New York A Gotham Stakes with a full field of 14 h No longer on the Kentucky Derby 2023 trail, Cave R History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Individual flat races can vary in distance from 440 yards to 2 1/2 miles. These races often feature the best horses and carry the biggest purses. When journalists covering elections focus primarily on whos winning or losing instead of policy issues whats known as horse race reporting voters, candidates and the news industry itself suffer, a growing body of research has found. Now there are more ways to vote. They looked at news coverage of polls of voter intent conducted by eight polling firms for eight political parties from 2011 to 2015. Last month, Republicans claimed that flipping the senate in 2014 and winning the presidency in 2016 gave them the mandate. Despite Trumps defeat, this is what America has always been. In 1991, the Greek-owned cruise ship Oceanos sank off South Africas eastern coast. Current coverage would have us believe that Black organizers and others protesting and demanding equity and justice cost Democrats seats up and down the ballot whenBlack organizers played a critical rolein winning this election. Fact 1: The First Amendment protects the actions that allow debate, discussion, conversation, political action, protest, and more. They are greeted by news coverage thats long on the horse race and short on substance Its not until later in the process, when the race is nearly settled, that substance comes more fully into the mix.. 1. This same approach colors which candidates are seen as viable and worth investing money and coverage. New Orleans native Quin Hillyer is a senior commentary writer and editor for the Washington Examiner, working from the Gulf Coast. Political Communication, 2015. She was sired by Caerleon out of the Roberto mare Penultimate. The two hours . Strategic coverage will continue to be a part of the news diet but in parallel will lead citizens to develop higher levels of cynicism and criticism not only toward politicians but also toward the media.. A total of 1,078 articles were examined. The story is told that five years after Hannibals victory at Cannae, with his troops camped outside the very gates of Rome, the Roman Senate auctioned off, at full price, the very ground upon which Hannibal was standing; perhaps the first example in history, given the Carthaginians subsequent retreat, of the market as a predictor of future political events. The Republican contest got 63 percent of the total coverage between January 1 and June 7, compared with the Democrats 37 percent a margin of more than three to two., Pattersons paper takes a detailed look at the proportion and tone of coverage for Republican and Democratic candidates during each stage of the primary campaign. 2023 ESSENCE Communications Inc. All Rights Reserved. Hallandale Beach, Fla. If worse comes to worst, the people of this country are unlikely to forget or forgive the role the media have played at this crucial hour. MSNBC has done several as well; so has FOX News, for candidates willing to go there. The two researchers analyzed the poll coverage provided by seven Danish newspapers before, during and after the 2011 parliamentary election campaign a 260-day period from May 9, 2011 to Jan. 23, 2012. There are also systemic issues whose answers still elude the industry as a whole. Projecting Confidence: How the Probabilistic Horse Race Confuses and Demobilizes the PublicSean Jeremy Westwood, Solomon Messing and Yphtach Lelkes. ATLANTA (AP) Georgia state senators defeated a constitutional amendment Tuesday that would have allowed voters to decide whether to legalize betting on horse racing. In the academic article, Alon Zoizner, an assistant professor of communication at the University of Haifa, Israel, analyzes 32 studies published or released from 1997 to 2016 that examine the effects of strategic news coverage. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 2016. He was sired by Press Card out of the [Add Data] mare [Add Data]. Shortchange third-party candidates, who often are overlooked or ignored because their chances of winning are slim when compared with Republican and Democratic candidates. The sport has also been a part of mythology. This is a watershed moment in modern American politics that requires honest engagement with the reality that white supremacist who would rather support fascism to maintain control and frustrate democractic process. Nor is it insight into how politicians plan to spin or parlay these issues to their advantage. If, for instance, they wonder how they or anyone without a defined-benefit pension plan are going to be able to retire with interest rates near zero; or if they are concerned about the likely effect on crime and our civic culture of the impoverishment of millions of formerly middle-class people; or if they worry about the effect on their assets of further significant declines in the purchasing power of the dollar; or if, mindful of the growing might of a country like China, they are concerned about the future, including the future security, of their children or grandchildren; if, in other words, they are interested in things more serious than which political party is best spinning the misery, or likely to be awarded at the polls, then they need to begin to familiarize themselves with finance and economics. Hallandale Beach, Fla. Supporters attend a primary election night event for J.D. We only ask that you follow a few basic guidelines. In the United States, the shorter races are known as sprints, while longer distances are called routes. Most of the coverage of Congress concerns the House of Representatives, the Senate, or Congress . A paper published in The Journal of Politics in 2020 indicates probabilistic forecasting has fundamentally altered the political information environment in ways that can both help and hurt voters and candidates. In 2001, the events of 9/11 were covered by the news media in a way that reassured and unified an angry and fearful country. The backbone, or the workhorsethe piece thats supposed to hold it all together when all else fails, and essentially absolves anyone else with any real responsibility or put in the work, Watley said. Chapter in the book Masculinity, Media, and the American Presidency, 2015. One online journalist, for example, told Toff that readers should help determine the reliability of poll results and that in a lot of ways Twitter is our ombudsman., Toff calls on academic researchers to help improve coverage of public opinion, in part by offering clearer guidance on best practices for news reporting. But it may also be driven by journalists and editors desires for interesting horse race stories, the authors add. And how did they know? Women journalists and journalists of color are particularly vulnerable to online harassment, research shows. The purses in these races vary between small and big tracks, but the purses in the major races can top $1 million. And if so, at what interest rates? A lack of competition invites a focus on internal politics over the public good. First Amendment Photo Gallery. It also might help if networks would not force on us the opinions of partisan cheerleaders and people who covered up murders. Whether reporters perform this way because they are biased in favor of the Democratic Party and Democratic policies, or because they are themselves clueless about all things economic, or because they are, perforce, tethered to the inadequacies of the politicians they cover (with the correct answer being all of the above), makes not the tiniest bit of difference. As Thomas Jefferson said, the heavy hand of government should be willing (except in extremis) to "tolerate any error so long as reason is left free to combat it." That is the essence of the First. His analysis also reveals that this kind of reporting results in an uninformed electorate. [But] we are talking about democracy hanging in the balance and I need to know what is going on, what is true and what is not.. Tel (703) 506-8030 Despite the high stakes of maiden special weight races, there is still a class system in North American racing. This column originally appeared in the Examiner. Claims that President-elect Joe Biden owes a special duty to the portion of the country that did not vote for him is a sharp departure from the approach of conservatives like George Bush and Ronald Reagan who won a similar share of the popular vote. Offers may be subject to change without notice. The irony is that the story was written not by a Post reporter but by the newspapers ombudsman, and the thrust of his article was reader unhappiness with the superficiality of the papers coverage of this issue, As one of them put it, "Your papers coverage continues in the "horse race" mode. And if its not, whats the downside to that? Perhaps a better question would be when political reporters are going to turn that telescope on themselves. GRAND RAPIDS, Mich. (WOOD) A Michigan state representative has introduced a bill that would require professional fact checkers to register with the state and carry at least $1 million in. The researchers find that probabilistic forecasting discourages voting, likely because people often decide to skip voting when their candidate has a very high chance of winning or losing. The inherent preference for whats new over whats known continues to skew coverage. Toff, who completed the interviews between October 2014 and May 2015, points out that advocacy organizations can take advantage of the situation to get reporters to unknowingly disseminate their messages. Media Ownership, Electoral Context, and Campaign News, Contagious Media Effects: How Media Use and Exposure to Game-Framed News Influence Media Trust, Transforming Stability into Change: How the Media Select and Report Opinion Polls, The Nate Silver Effect on Political Journalism: Gatecrashers, Gatekeepers, and Changing Newsroom Practices Around Coverage of Public Opinion Polls, News Reporting of Opinion Polls: Journalism and Statistical Noise, academic scholars are more likely to be included in horse race stories than issue coverage, Dont say prove: How to report on the conclusiveness of research findings, Newsrooms need to do more to protect journalists from online harassment, 7 ways to inform news coverage of immigration at the southern U.S. border, The National Institute for Health Care Management (NIHCM) Foundation, How to make a donation to The Journalists Resource, Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-ND 4.0).